The newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Read the newsletter. Make a prediction with one click. Keep score.
Welcome to Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about the economy.
Thanks for forecasting. Send feedback to newsletter@nonrival.pub.
Nonrival readers think there's a better-than-even chance that inflation falls beow 4.5% annually, by June.
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The newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Read the newsletter. Make a prediction with one click. Keep score.
Welcome to Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Thanks for forecasting. Send feedback to newsletter@nonrival.pub. In this issue Scores: The last scoring email of Season 2 checks in on a Joe Manchin presidential run. I'll send a wrap up of the entirety of Season 2 soon! Scores: Will Joe Manchin register to run for president by Jan. 28? Date: This question was posed to readers on Nov. 12, 2023 Outcome: No (so lower forecasts score better)...
Welcome to Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Thanks for forecasting. Send feedback to newsletter@nonrival.pub. In this issue 3 scores this week: on Covid hospitalizations, ChatGPT, and the Fed's decision An update on your total points for Season 2 Overall, we did well on these three! The average forecast was in the 30s for the two that didn't happen and in the 70s for the one that did. There's one outstanding question for Season 2 that...
Welcome to Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Thanks for forecasting. Send feedback to newsletter@nonrival.pub. In this issue Recap: On Dec. 31, will the top-ranked model on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard, based on Arena Elo rating, be from OpenAI? Average reader forecast: 75% Your forecast: [120323 GOES HERE]% OpenAI will stay ahead Almost all of you think OpenAI will remain the leader in the chatbot space through end of this year. The...