Welcome to Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics.
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In this issue
Recap: Will Joe Manchin register to run for president by Jan. 28?
- Average reader forecast: 35%
- Your forecast: [111223 GOES HERE]%
Manchin's all talk (probably?)
Most of you don't think Manchin will run: Only 27% of you said it was 50/50 or better chances that he enters the race by end of January. Why not? Because it would tarnish his reputation and because he'd be unlikely to win.
And yet... Manchin loves the spotlight, and the drumbeat of concerns over Biden's candidacy keeps on going. Plus one of my favorite rationales ever: What the national Christmas tree has to do with a Manchin candidacy 😂
Trivia: Two-thirds of you correctly identified Manchin's boat. It's "Almost Heaven."