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Predictions about the digital economy

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    Why forecasts?

    1. Accurate predictions are really useful. They're an essential part of good decision-making.
    2. Crowd forecasting works. Combining the forecasts of a group of people can produce more accurate predictions than many individual experts.
    3. Forecasting improves your thinking. There's no better cure for overconfidence than making concrete predictions and seeing how they pan out. Forecasting helps develop good mental habits and improves reasoning skills.


    More questions? Read our FAQ (coming soon).

    "Objective evidence and certitude are doubtless very fine ideals to play with, but where on this moonlit and dream-visited planet are they found?" —William James, The Will to Believe, 1896